With the new year coming up, we will be posting our NCAA Rankings based on single-season, non-prior induced, metrics for predicting who should make the NCAA tournament. Every year, we typically score between 65 and 68 teams correct; last year being a bust with 64 teams. As a side note, three of the four missed…
Now that the conference tournaments have wrapped up, we are left to identify who is in and who is out. Many analysts use RPI, gut feelings, and perceived “key wins” to help them identify a top 36 team “At-Large” seeding. Others such as Lunardi, Massey, and Colley, incorporate metrics observed based on wins, points, locations,…
Over the last five days we’ve been updating a series of aggregated statistical models conditioned on underlying pairwise interactions, which we call the Jacobs model. Over the previous five years, we have correctly picked 65 of 68 teams; whiffing on a couple really good teams (Cincinnati a couple years back was the worst) but nailing…
Building off our most recent posts: Bracketology: Five Days Remaining, Bracketology: Four Days Remain, and Bracketology: Three Days Remain, we gave our updated brackets along with a few steps for Bubble teams to take during their conference tournament play to ensure entry into the NCAA Tournament. Here we primarily focused on Indiana, Iowa, Illinois, Ohio State, and Michigan…
On Selection Sunday, the NCAA Tournament committee will need to decide on which 36 teams should receive an “At-Large” bid. Many of these teams are simple to select; for instance Kansas will be at At-Large team thanks to their loss to TCU on Thursday in the Big 12 conference tournament. However, there are many “Bubble” teams…
Building off our most recent posts: Bracketology: Five Days Remaining and Bracketology: Four Days Remain, we gave our updated brackets along with a few steps for Bubble teams to take during their conference tournament play to ensure entry into the NCAA Tournament. Here we primarily focused on Indiana, Iowa, Illinois, Ohio State, and Michigan State of the Big…
Building off our most recent post: Bracketology: Five Days Remaining, we gave our updated brackets along with a few steps for Bubble teams to take during their conference tournament play to ensure entry into the NCAA Tournament. Here we primarily focused on Indiana, Iowa, Illinois, Ohio State, and Michigan State of the Big Ten Conference; Vanderbilt and Georgia of…
As the major conferences kick off their conference tournaments today, we take a look at the current state of the NCAA Brackets. Currently, eleven teams are already in the NCAA tournament due to smaller conferences completing their respective championship games. This means roughly 150 teams are already eliminated from earning an NCAA Tournament berth. With roughly 200…
With two days remaining until the start of Conference Championships for NCAA Basketball, we take another look into the current state of March Madness. Recall that to get into the March Madness Tournament, a team must either win their conference championship tournament, finish first in the Ivy League, or obtain one of 32 “At-Large” bids…
In a change of pace from the NCAA Division I Men’s Basketball March Madness, we take a look at the final day of the regular season for the College Conference of Illinois and Wisconsin (CCIW) at attempt to understand a seemingly chaotic finish in NCAA Division III Men’s Basketball. Tomorrow (February 21st) is the final…
Squared Statistics: Understanding Basketball Analytics 