Offensive and Defensive Ratings

The terms offensive rating and defensive rating refers to the amount of points scored by a team and by the team’s opponents, respectively, over 100 possessions. The normalization to 100 possessions allows for the ability to compare teams as pace of games can skew points per game comparisons. Both ratings are still considered box score…

Bradley-Terry Rankings: Introduction to Logistic Regression

In a recent post, we identified the Colley Matrix methodology for ranking NBA teams. The methodology provided insight but abused the originating statistical construct in an effort to enforce a correlated, solvable, set of equations to identify a “probability” of winning. Unfortunately, we witnessed that not only were those statistical assumptions violated, but the resulting…

Statistics of Colley’s Ranking Methodology

In 2002, Wes Colley (Princeton) developed a methodology that became a part of College Football BCS rankings lore: The Colley Method. In his original paper, Colley claims that his method is “bias free” for estimating the ranking of a team given a particular schedule. The resulting values for each team is identified as a ranking…