Now that the conference tournaments have wrapped up, we are left to identify who is in and who is out. Many analysts use RPI, gut feelings, and perceived “key wins” to help them identify a top 36 team “At-Large” seeding. Others such as Lunardi, Massey, and Colley, incorporate metrics observed based on wins, points, locations,…
Over the last five days we’ve been updating a series of aggregated statistical models conditioned on underlying pairwise interactions, which we call the Jacobs model. Over the previous five years, we have correctly picked 65 of 68 teams; whiffing on a couple really good teams (Cincinnati a couple years back was the worst) but nailing…
Building off our most recent posts: Bracketology: Five Days Remaining, Bracketology: Four Days Remain, and Bracketology: Three Days Remain, we gave our updated brackets along with a few steps for Bubble teams to take during their conference tournament play to ensure entry into the NCAA Tournament. Here we primarily focused on Indiana, Iowa, Illinois, Ohio State, and Michigan…
Building off our most recent posts: Bracketology: Five Days Remaining and Bracketology: Four Days Remain, we gave our updated brackets along with a few steps for Bubble teams to take during their conference tournament play to ensure entry into the NCAA Tournament. Here we primarily focused on Indiana, Iowa, Illinois, Ohio State, and Michigan State of the Big…
Building off our most recent post: Bracketology: Five Days Remaining, we gave our updated brackets along with a few steps for Bubble teams to take during their conference tournament play to ensure entry into the NCAA Tournament. Here we primarily focused on Indiana, Iowa, Illinois, Ohio State, and Michigan State of the Big Ten Conference; Vanderbilt and Georgia of…
In a change of pace from the NCAA Division I Men’s Basketball March Madness, we take a look at the final day of the regular season for the College Conference of Illinois and Wisconsin (CCIW) at attempt to understand a seemingly chaotic finish in NCAA Division III Men’s Basketball. Tomorrow (February 21st) is the final…
As the regular season comes to a close today with Big Ten action, we start to turn our focus to the conference tournaments. In this edition, we take a look at all 32 conferences and identify the current state of the NCAA tournaments, as defined by our ranking algorithms. Conferences are broken down as follows:…
The Patriot League Tournament kicks off on Tuesday, March 1st with a pair of games in Maryland. At 7:00 PM, Navy (18-13, 9-9) hosts Lafayette (6-23, 3-15) in Annapolis, MD. Thirty minutes later, Loyola (9-20, 8-10) hosts Holy Cross (10-19, 5-13). These games represent the first round as the bottom four seeds of the Patriot…
The NCAA postseason starts on Tuesday with the Atlantic Sun Conference and Patriot League tournaments tipping off. To date, only the seedings for the Atlantic Sun tournament have been determined. The North Florida Ospreys (21-10) finished atop the Atlantic Sun for a second year in a row with a 10-4 conference record, finishing two games…
Squared Statistics: Understanding Basketball Analytics 