Now that the conference tournaments have wrapped up, we are left to identify who is in and who is out. Many analysts use RPI, gut feelings, and perceived “key wins” to help them identify a top 36 team “At-Large” seeding. Others such as Lunardi, Massey, and Colley, incorporate metrics observed based on wins, points, locations,…
Over the last five days we’ve been updating a series of aggregated statistical models conditioned on underlying pairwise interactions, which we call the Jacobs model. Over the previous five years, we have correctly picked 65 of 68 teams; whiffing on a couple really good teams (Cincinnati a couple years back was the worst) but nailing…
Building off our most recent posts: Bracketology: Five Days Remaining, Bracketology: Four Days Remain, and Bracketology: Three Days Remain, we gave our updated brackets along with a few steps for Bubble teams to take during their conference tournament play to ensure entry into the NCAA Tournament. Here we primarily focused on Indiana, Iowa, Illinois, Ohio State, and Michigan…
On Selection Sunday, the NCAA Tournament committee will need to decide on which 36 teams should receive an “At-Large” bid. Many of these teams are simple to select; for instance Kansas will be at At-Large team thanks to their loss to TCU on Thursday in the Big 12 conference tournament. However, there are many “Bubble” teams…
Building off our most recent posts: Bracketology: Five Days Remaining and Bracketology: Four Days Remain, we gave our updated brackets along with a few steps for Bubble teams to take during their conference tournament play to ensure entry into the NCAA Tournament. Here we primarily focused on Indiana, Iowa, Illinois, Ohio State, and Michigan State of the Big…
Building off our most recent post: Bracketology: Five Days Remaining, we gave our updated brackets along with a few steps for Bubble teams to take during their conference tournament play to ensure entry into the NCAA Tournament. Here we primarily focused on Indiana, Iowa, Illinois, Ohio State, and Michigan State of the Big Ten Conference; Vanderbilt and Georgia of…
With two days remaining until the start of Conference Championships for NCAA Basketball, we take another look into the current state of March Madness. Recall that to get into the March Madness Tournament, a team must either win their conference championship tournament, finish first in the Ivy League, or obtain one of 32 “At-Large” bids…
With nine days remaining until the start of Conference Championships for NCAA Basketball, we take another look into the current state of March Madness. Recall that to get into the March Madness Tournament, a team must either win their conference championship tournament, finish first in the Ivy League, or obtain one of 32 “At-Large” bids…
For the 2016-2017 we have witnessed some major upsets, as well as some roller coaster seasons, for multiple teams. This year, I attempted to wait before posting my March Madness rankings as I needed this season to flesh out. You’ll see (and most likely argue) that the current rankings are so tight that a three…
Now that 52 games of the NCAA Tournament are in the books, we come to the Sweet 16. Despite all the crazy upsets and close calls, we are left with 15 power conference teams and one perennial power-house of a “mid-major” team in Gonzaga. Using the resulting 52 games, we are able to update the…
Squared Statistics: Understanding Basketball Analytics 