Rebounding Rates: Good for Teams; Bad for Players

Pop Quiz: Who are the top ten rebounders in the NBA for the 2016-17 NBA Season? If you said… Andre Drummond DeAndre Jordan Hassan Whiteside Rudy Gobert Karl-Anthony Towns Dwight Howard Anthony Davis Russell Westbrook Marcin Gortat DeMarcus Cousins … you might be right. These are the players that have the most rebounds for the…

Applying Tensors to Find Optimal Match-Ups in the NBA

A common methodology for NBA analysts to develop a metric that quantifies scoring ability of a player through the position a player is put in when taking a shot, and the association of a closest defender when the shot is taken. Some such metrics are kernel density plots of field goal percentages on the court, assist adjacency matrices, measure…

Analyzing NBA Possession Models

A possession is defined by the NBA as Section XVIII-Team Possession A team is in possession when a player is holding, dribbling or passing the ball. Team possession ends when the defensive team gains possession or there is a field goal attempt. There is a little change to that definition even, as a field goal…

Measuring the NBA MVP Race and Solomon Hill

In two days, we will find out who is the NBA MVP: James Harden, Kawhi Leonard, and Russell Westbrook. Each player has their pros and cons, and have been heavily debated over the past month since the finalists have been listed. Despite Leonard leading the Spurs into the second best record in the league (61-21)…

NBA Finals: Review of the MCMC

Now that the Finals are upon us (finally!), let’s take a look back at the Markov Chain simulator that we built for this post-season, evaluate how we did, and take a look at the NBA Finals!   Round 1… 7 for 8 There were no surprises in the first round of the NBA Playoffs. In…

The Real 2017 NBA Draft Lottery Odds

With the NBA recently announcing the tie-breaking procedures, we finally obtain the draft orders up to the first three spots, decided by the lottery. That is, after the first three teams are selected, the remaining eleven spots of the draft lottery are in order of tie-broken winning percentages. If the Minnesota Timberwolves and the New…

NBA Predictions for 2016-2017

Only a few days delayed due to an impromptu trip to Ottawa and a swing through Sacramento to catch the Kings upend the Minnesota Timberwolves 106-103 last night, my pre-season predictions are finally available for your viewing pleasure. In this edition, we take a look at the rosters on opening day and compute their expected…