NFL Power Rankings Using Beta Regression

As Week 7 of the NFL season comes to a close, we have tallied a total of 119 of the 256 regular season football games. This equates to just over 46% of the season completed. In these seven weeks, we have four undefeated teams remaining: New England, Cincinnati, Denver, and Carolina. In a previous post, we used…

NBA Tip-Off Predictions and Simulation

With the 2015-16 NBA season getting underway tonight, we take a look at previous year data and attempt to extrapolate an expected number of wins for each team this season. The method we propose is conservative in that we rely on previous season possession data and opening day rosters for each NBA team. First, we…

Comparing Probability Models: MLB Playoff Probabilities Update

As the season comes to a conclusion, we will continue to produce probabilities for each MLB making the playoffs. With 10-12 games remaining for each team, the need for urgency arises and teams outside the playoff picture need to start posting near perfect records (Rockies of 2007); or teams inside the playoff picture need to…