2016 MLB Probabilities of Making the Playoffs (August 28th Edition)

In this edition, we will merely post the current standings on the morning of August 28th and give the probabilities of making the playoffs. This weekend, we will start measuring teams’ chances of making the playoffs and progressively dissect elimination probabilities. For this week, we start by taking a look at the Minnesota Twins, Atlanta Braves, Milwaukee Brewers, and Cincinnati Reds.

Current standings:

Screen Shot 2016-08-28 at 3.28.31 PM

MLB Standings as of the morning of August 28th, 2016.

Probabilities of making the Playoffs:

Screen Shot 2016-08-28 at 3.29.37 PM

Projected expected standings for each MLB team for the 2016 MLB season. Probabilities for Winning Division (PWD), Wild Card (PWC), and Making Playoffs (PMP) are included.

Currently, the projected playoffs are as follows:

  • American League Wild Card: Boston Red Sox (89-73) vs. Kansas City Royals (86-76)
  • American League Division Series: Texas Rangers (94-68) vs. Wild Card; Cleveland Indians (93-69) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (91-71)

 

  • National League Wild Card: Los Angeles Dodgers (89-73) vs. St. Louis Cardinals (87-75)
  • National League Division Series: Chicago Cubs (103-59) vs. Wild Card; Washington Nationals (96-66) vs. San Francisco Giants (89-73)

 

Projected World Series Championship Probabilities:

  • Texas Rangers: 20.4809%
  • Chicago Cubs: 17.5855%
  • Toronto Blue Jays: 12.4410%
  • San Francisco Giants: 11.8478%
  • Washington Nationals: 9.5723%
  • Cleveland Indians: 9.3120%
  • Boston Red Sox: 6.6317%
  • Los Angeles Dodgers: 6.5871%
  • St. Louis Cardinals: 4.4344%
  • Kansas City Royals: 1.1073%
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One thought on “2016 MLB Probabilities of Making the Playoffs (August 28th Edition)

  1. Pingback: Elimination Looming for the Minnesota Twins… | Squared Statistics: Analyzing Crime, Sports, and People

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