NBC’s The Wall – Markov Simulation

NBC’s game show The Wall debuted at the New Year and is effectively a mix of Who Wants to Be a Millionaire and Plinko rolled into one. With its high suspense and random action, it’s been a relative hit for NBA, garnering a 1.5/5 to 1.6/6 rating/share in the Nielsen polls. Note: For those who are unfamiliar…

NBA Probabilities: Warriors, Spurs, Playoffs

At the close of the Pelicans – Warriors game tonight, we witnessed the Warriors set the record for fastest team to 60 wins with a 125 – 107 rout in Oakland. With the Warriors moving to 60-6 for the season with 16 games to go, the 72-10 record seems very well within their grasp. However,…

Comparing Probability Models: MLB Playoff Probabilities Update

As the season comes to a conclusion, we will continue to produce probabilities for each MLB making the playoffs. With 10-12 games remaining for each team, the need for urgency arises and teams outside the playoff picture need to start posting near perfect records (Rockies of 2007); or teams inside the playoff picture need to…