MLB Playoff Predictions

Now that we took a look at the probability of making the World Series for each MLB playoff team, let’s take a look at the optimal path for navigating the playoffs. For this post, we will still assume the continuity correction model from the previous posts for making the playoffs and making the world series. One…

Who’s Making the World Series: Simple Binomial Study

As the MLB playoffs began last night with the Houston Astros completing a three hit shutout over the New York Yankees, we decided to work out a generic method for determining the probability for each team in the MLB playoffs to make the world series. The playoffs finalized with the following schedule: A.L. Wild Card…

Final Four Days: A.L. Wild Card Notes

Since our last post, identifying the ways each of the remaining 10 A.L. teams vying for the final wildcard spot could win that said wildcard spot; a mere five days ago, we have seen seven teams fade off into obscurity and a tightening three horse race. Given our probabilities for each team, this scenario was widely accepted as…

Ten Days Left: Wild Finish for the A.L. Wild Card

Three weeks ago, the Houston Astros (73-60) sat relatively comfortably atop the American League West with a three game lead over the Texas Rangers (69-62) and a 6.5 game lead over the Los Angeles Angels (66-66). Over the course of three weeks, the Rangers wrangled the division lead in a convincing series over the Astros.…